Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 11.893471 13.626449 15.539455 17.810434 20.436332 23.381307 26.940337
2025-09-28 9.386191 11.588895 14.218589 17.599085 21.843729 27.015480 33.823050
2025-10-05 8.248445 10.745677 13.900092 18.196618 23.927023 31.349307 41.761045
2025-10-12 7.400017 10.071538 13.605468 18.653615 25.731350 35.377687 49.651056
2025-10-19 6.814797 9.634214 13.516651 19.298648 27.769485 39.846288 58.585063
2025-10-26 6.006061 8.772698 12.716569 18.805771 28.074051 41.817688 64.050742
2025-11-02 5.404943 8.133006 12.146655 18.551892 28.650012 44.178207 70.289727
2025-11-09 4.910407 7.593620 11.657754 18.344838 29.236783 46.562001 76.769815
2025-11-16 4.477212 7.100975 11.183575 18.094671 29.699238 48.751978 83.122598
2025-11-23 4.078408 6.621913 10.679920 17.733772 29.919825 50.530639 88.923886
2025-11-30 3.949419 6.566752 10.850034 18.499153 32.103421 55.824672 101.495267
2025-12-07 3.743071 6.361355 10.747778 18.779087 33.453605 59.776765 112.044419
2025-12-14 3.495837 6.068263 10.476790 18.746716 34.259554 62.868122 121.418534
2025-12-21 3.242820 5.742859 10.120412 18.523572 34.685766 65.290979 129.770698
2025-12-28 3.141883 5.679803 10.223136 19.154467 36.783476 71.096218 145.605238
2026-01-04 3.027223 5.580639 10.249045 19.637026 38.632787 76.593906 161.460784
2026-01-11 2.946608 5.537383 10.373254 20.318202 40.940500 83.243906 180.598271
2026-01-18 2.724000 5.204225 9.916983 19.797701 40.725766 84.640384 188.280606
2026-01-25 2.550695 4.953253 9.599654 19.529609 41.009873 87.112620 198.690977
2026-02-01 2.397498 4.730050 9.319039 19.310974 41.374559 89.787354 209.887927
2026-02-08 2.252026 4.511184 9.029697 19.046823 41.610300 92.191417 220.720646
2026-02-15 2.106559 4.281367 8.700086 18.665773 41.544659 93.896909 230.034904
2026-02-22 2.084380 4.306534 8.902828 19.473919 44.275634 102.376953 257.523104